Extreme Temperature and Extreme Violence: Evidence from Russia

ABSTRACT

We study the relationship between extreme temperatures and violent mortality, employing novel regional panel data from Russia. We find that extremely hot temperatures increase violent mortality, while extremely cold temperatures have no effect. The impact of hot temperature on violence is unequal across gender and age groups, rises noticeably during weekends, and leads to considerable social costs. Our findings also suggest that better job opportunities and lower vodka consumption may decrease this impact. The results underscore that economic policies need to target vulnerable population groups to mitigate the adverse impact of extreme temperatures.

WITH

Vladimir Otrachshenko, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, Yekaterinburg, Russian Federation

Olga Popova, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, Yekaterinburg, Russian Federation

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About Authors

José Tavares

Nova Faculty Affiliate

José Tavares earned his doctorate in Economics at Harvard University, where he specialized in Political Economy and Macroeconomics, and is currently professor of economics at Universidade Nova de Lisboa and Research Fellow at the Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) in London.